George KittleorTravis Kelce?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start George Kittle
George Kittle outscores Travis Kelce in 63% of simulations.
Travis Kelce still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so George Kittle is the better bet, not a sure thing. George Kittle projects 3.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: George Kittle faces the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to TEs), Travis Kelce faces the New York Jets (8% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.4
- Median
- 11.2
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 14%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (15+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 5):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.6 | 9.5 |
| PPR projection | 15.3 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 9.9 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | TE4 | TE8 |
| Matchup | vs LV | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 12.5 | 9.6 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 78% |
| Trade value | 27 | 2 |