Harold Fannin Jr.orSam LaPorta?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Harold Fannin Jr.
Harold Fannin Jr. outscores Sam LaPorta in 56% of simulations.
Sam LaPorta still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Harold Fannin Jr. is the better bet, not a sure thing. Harold Fannin Jr. projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Harold Fannin Jr. faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (11% more than average to TEs), Sam LaPorta faces the Carolina Panthers (6% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 19.4
- Big game (15+):
- 21%
- Dud (under 5):
- 19%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 8.5
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Harold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Oct 4, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 10.8 | 9.8 |
| PPR projection | 13.3 | 12.1 |
| Standard projection | 8.4 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | TE6 | TE10 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at CAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 9.1 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 92% |
| Trade value | 9 | 3 |