Isaiah LikelyorSam LaPorta?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta outscores Isaiah Likely in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Isaiah Likely comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Sam LaPorta, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Sam LaPorta projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Sam LaPorta faces the Green Bay Packers (20% fewer than average to TEs), Isaiah Likely faces the Houston Texans (16% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 19.7
- Big game (15+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 5):
- 31%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 18.1
- Big game (15+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 5):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Oct 25, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.8 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 12.0 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.7 | 8.0 |
| Rank this week | TE6 | TE5 |
| Matchup | at HOU | vs GB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 15.0 | 12.6 |
| Last season per game | 4.0 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 91% | 89% |
| Trade value | 18 | 24 |