Sam LaPortaorTucker Kraft?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Sam LaPorta

Sam LaPorta outscores Tucker Kraft in 51% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Tucker Kraft comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Sam LaPorta, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Sam LaPorta projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Sam LaPorta has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (31% more than average to TEs); Tucker Kraft faces the New England Patriots (5% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Sam LaPorta
Floor
3.5
Median
9.5
Ceiling
20.2
Big game (15+):
23%
Dud (under 5):
19%
Tucker Kraft
Floor
3.2
Median
9.2
Ceiling
19.6
Big game (15+):
22%
Dud (under 5):
21%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatSam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETTucker KraftTE, GB, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.010.6
PPR projection13.412.8
Standard projection8.58.5
Rank this weekTE5TE6
Matchupat MIAat NE
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.18.9
Last season per game9.712.6
Snap share, last game93%88%
Trade value515