George KittleorSam LaPorta?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start George Kittle
George Kittle outscores Sam LaPorta in 62% of simulations.
Sam LaPorta still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so George Kittle is the better bet, not a sure thing. George Kittle projects 2.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: George Kittle faces the Dallas Cowboys (8% fewer than average to TEs), Sam LaPorta faces the New England Patriots (9% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (15+):
- 25%
- Dud (under 5):
- 17%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.2 | 8.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 10.5 |
| Standard projection | 8.8 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | TE11 |
| Matchup | at DAL | vs NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 9.4 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 90% |
| Trade value | 29 | 5 |