George KittleorHunter Henry?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start George Kittle
George Kittle outscores Hunter Henry in 58% of simulations.
Hunter Henry still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so George Kittle is the better bet, not a sure thing. George Kittle projects 1.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Hunter Henry has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (47% more than average to TEs); George Kittle faces the Dallas Cowboys (7% fewer than average to TEs). George Kittle still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.9
- Median
- 9.9
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (15+):
- 25%
- Dud (under 5):
- 17%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (15+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | George KittleTE, SF, Sun, Nov 15, 4:25 p.m. ET | Hunter HenryTE, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.2 | 9.6 |
| PPR projection | 13.7 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.8 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | TE3 | TE6 |
| Matchup | at DAL | at DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.9 | 7.1 |
| Last season per game | 12.1 | 8.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 49% |
| Trade value | 27 | — |