Darren WallerorHunter Henry?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Hunter Henry
Hunter Henry outscores Darren Waller in 55% of simulations.
Darren Waller still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Hunter Henry is the better bet, not a sure thing. Hunter Henry projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Hunter Henry has the better matchup against the New York Jets (7% fewer than average to TEs); Darren Waller faces the Philadelphia Eagles (37% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 14.3
- Big game (15+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 5):
- 45%
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Hunter HenryTE, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.5 |
| PPR projection | 8.4 | 9.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 5.9 |
| Rank this week | TE15 | TE13 |
| Matchup | at PHI | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.3 | 6.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 8.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 53% | 64% |
| Trade value | — | — |