Darren WallerorIsaiah Likely?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Isaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely outscores Darren Waller in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Darren Waller comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Isaiah Likely, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Isaiah Likely projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Darren Waller has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (11% more than average to TEs); Isaiah Likely faces the Philadelphia Eagles (37% fewer than average to TEs). Isaiah Likely still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 44%
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (15+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 5):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 9.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | TE16 | TE12 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | at PHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 13.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 86% |
| Trade value | — | 5 |