Dalton KincaidorMike Gesicki?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid outscores Mike Gesicki in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mike Gesicki comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Dalton Kincaid, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dalton Kincaid projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. The matchups don't separate them: Dalton Kincaid faces the New York Jets (11% more than average to TEs), Mike Gesicki faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.5
- Median
- 7.8
- Ceiling
- 17.8
- Big game (15+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 5):
- 30%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton KincaidTE, BUF, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 10.9 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 7.2 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | TE8 | TE15 |
| Matchup | at NYJ | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.7 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.9 | 4.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 50% | 47% |
| Trade value | — | — |