Mike GesickiorSam LaPorta?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta outscores Mike Gesicki in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mike Gesicki comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Sam LaPorta, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Sam LaPorta projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Mike Gesicki has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% more than average to TEs); Sam LaPorta faces the New England Patriots (9% fewer than average to TEs). Sam LaPorta still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.3
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Mike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.9 | 8.5 |
| PPR projection | 9.2 | 10.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE15 | TE12 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | vs NE |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 9.4 |
| Last season per game | 4.7 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 47% | 90% |
| Trade value | — | 5 |