Kyle PittsorMike Gesicki?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Mike Gesicki
Mike Gesicki outscores Kyle Pitts in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Pitts comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Mike Gesicki, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Pitts projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Mike Gesicki has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% more than average to TEs); Kyle Pitts faces the Kansas City Chiefs (1% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 17.5
- Big game (15+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 5):
- 42%
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.1
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.1 | 7.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE11 | TE12 |
| Matchup | vs KC | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.5 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 9.8 | 4.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 68% | 47% |
| Trade value | — | — |