Dalton SchultzorTravis Kelce?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores Dalton Schultz in 63% of simulations.
Dalton Schultz still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Travis Kelce is the better bet, not a sure thing. Travis Kelce projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Dalton Schultz has the better matchup against the Cleveland Browns (1% more than average to TEs); Travis Kelce faces the Atlanta Falcons (16% fewer than average to TEs). Travis Kelce still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Travis Kelce wins 68%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 41%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 16.2
- Big game (15+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 5):
- 25%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.9 | 8.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 10.8 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 7.0 |
| Rank this week | TE18 | TE8 |
| Matchup | at CLE | at ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 10.3 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 70% |
| Trade value | — | 10 |