Dalton SchultzorMike Gesicki?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Mike Gesicki
Mike Gesicki outscores Dalton Schultz in 56% of simulations.
Dalton Schultz still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Mike Gesicki is the better bet, not a sure thing. Mike Gesicki projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Mike Gesicki has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (9% more than average to TEs); Dalton Schultz faces the Cleveland Browns (average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in PPR leagues, Mike Gesicki wins 51%; in Standard leagues, Mike Gesicki wins 62%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.1
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 41%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 6.7
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mike GesickiTE, CIN, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.9 | 7.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 4.8 | 6.6 |
| Rank this week | TE20 | TE15 |
| Matchup | at CLE | vs PIT |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.7 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 4.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 44% | 47% |
| Trade value | — | — |