Darren WallerorTyler Higbee?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Darren Waller
Darren Waller outscores Tyler Higbee in 55% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tyler Higbee comes out ahead in the other 45%. Lean Darren Waller, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Darren Waller projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Darren Waller faces the Green Bay Packers (24% fewer than average to TEs), Tyler Higbee faces the Los Angeles Chargers (22% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Darren Waller wins 61%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 13.6
- Big game (15+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 5):
- 48%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 11.5
- Big game (15+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 5):
- 54%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ET | Tyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Sun, Nov 1, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 5.6 |
| PPR projection | 7.7 | 7.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.7 | 4.1 |
| Rank this week | TE17 | TE21 |
| Matchup | at GB | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.5 | 6.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 5.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 45% | 74% |
| Trade value | — | — |