Darren WallerorEli Raridon?

Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Eli Raridon

Eli Raridon outscores Darren Waller in 58% of simulations.

Darren Waller still comes out ahead in the other 42%, so Eli Raridon is the better bet, not a sure thing. Eli Raridon projects 1.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Eli Raridon has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (36% more than average to TEs); Darren Waller faces the Green Bay Packers (24% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Darren Waller
Floor
1.3
Median
5.2
Ceiling
13.6
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
48%
Eli Raridon
Floor
2.0
Median
6.5
Ceiling
15.2
Big game (15+):
10%
Dud (under 5):
37%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDarren WallerTE, CAR, Thu, Oct 29, 8:15 p.m. ETEli RaridonTE, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.77.7
PPR projection7.79.1
Standard projection5.76.4
Rank this weekTE17TE13
Matchupat GBat MIA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.55.8
Last season per game8.5—
Snap share, last game45%54%
Trade value——