Colston LovelandorEli Raridon?

Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland outscores Eli Raridon in 50% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Eli Raridon comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Colston Loveland, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Colston Loveland projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Eli Raridon has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (36% more than average to TEs); Colston Loveland faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to TEs). Colston Loveland still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Colston Loveland
Floor
1.5
Median
6.4
Ceiling
17.7
Big game (15+):
15%
Dud (under 5):
40%
Eli Raridon
Floor
2.0
Median
6.5
Ceiling
15.2
Big game (15+):
10%
Dud (under 5):
37%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatColston LovelandTE, CHI, Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ETEli RaridonTE, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.27.7
PPR projection10.19.1
Standard projection6.36.4
Rank this weekTE12TE13
Matchupat SEAat MIA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.15.8
Last season per game8.5—
Snap share, last game84%54%
Trade value3—