Colston LovelandorSam LaPorta?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta outscores Colston Loveland in 55% of simulations.
Colston Loveland still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Sam LaPorta is the better bet, not a sure thing. Sam LaPorta projects 0.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Colston Loveland has the better matchup against the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to TEs); Sam LaPorta faces the Minnesota Vikings (34% fewer than average to TEs). Sam LaPorta still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.5
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 17.7
- Big game (15+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 5):
- 40%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 15.7
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Colston LovelandTE, CHI, Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.2 | 8.7 |
| PPR projection | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | TE12 | TE9 |
| Matchup | at SEA | vs MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.1 | 10.9 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 97% |
| Trade value | 3 | 16 |