Sam LaPortaorTravis Kelce?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Sam LaPorta
Sam LaPorta outscores Travis Kelce in 55% of simulations.
Travis Kelce still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Sam LaPorta is the better bet, not a sure thing. Sam LaPorta projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Sam LaPorta has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (31% more than average to TEs); Travis Kelce faces the New York Jets (8% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (15+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 5):
- 19%
- Floor
- 3.2
- Median
- 8.3
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (15+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 5):
- 23%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.0 | 9.5 |
| PPR projection | 13.4 | 11.7 |
| Standard projection | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | TE5 | TE8 |
| Matchup | at MIA | vs NYJ |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.1 | 9.6 |
| Last season per game | 9.7 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 93% | 78% |
| Trade value | 5 | 2 |