Brock BowersorSam LaPorta?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers outscores Sam LaPorta in 62% of simulations.
Sam LaPorta still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Brock Bowers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brock Bowers projects 3.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Sam LaPorta has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (31% more than average to TEs); Brock Bowers faces the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs). Brock Bowers still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (15+):
- 39%
- Dud (under 5):
- 11%
- Floor
- 3.5
- Median
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 20.2
- Big game (15+):
- 23%
- Dud (under 5):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 11.0 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 13.4 |
| Standard projection | 11.6 | 8.5 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | TE5 |
| Matchup | at SF | at MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.2 | 10.1 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 9.7 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 93% |
| Trade value | 43 | 5 |