Brock BowersorTrey McBride?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Brock Bowers in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Brock Bowers comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Trey McBride, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Brock Bowers projects 0.7 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Trey McBride faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to TEs), Brock Bowers faces the San Francisco 49ers (4% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Brock Bowers is the pick at 55%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.8
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Big game (15+):
- 39%
- Dud (under 5):
- 11%
- Floor
- 6.1
- Median
- 12.8
- Ceiling
- 23.1
- Big game (15+):
- 37%
- Dud (under 5):
- 6%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 8, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.6 | 13.9 |
| PPR projection | 17.6 | 17.6 |
| Standard projection | 11.6 | 10.3 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | TE2 |
| Matchup | at SF | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.2 | 14.7 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 95% |
| Trade value | 43 | 43 |