Sam LaPortaorTrey McBride?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Sam LaPorta in 63% of simulations.
Sam LaPorta still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Trey McBride is the better bet, not a sure thing. Trey McBride projects 3.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Trey McBride faces the Detroit Lions (41% more than average to TEs), Sam LaPorta faces the Arizona Cardinals (34% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 10.7
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Big game (15+):
- 28%
- Dud (under 5):
- 14%
- Floor
- 6.5
- Median
- 14.4
- Ceiling
- 26.8
- Big game (15+):
- 47%
- Dud (under 5):
- 5%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Sam LaPortaTE, DET, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Oct 11, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 12.3 | 15.8 |
| PPR projection | 15.1 | 20.3 |
| Standard projection | 9.4 | 11.4 |
| Rank this week | TE4 | TE1 |
| Matchup | at ARI | vs DET |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.4 | 13.2 |
| Last season per game | 9.7 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 97% |
| Trade value | 21 | 44 |