Dallas GoedertorTravis Kelce?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores Dallas Goedert in 50% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Dallas Goedert comes out ahead in the other 50%. Lean Travis Kelce, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dallas Goedert projects 0.5 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Travis Kelce faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to TEs), Dallas Goedert faces the Dallas Cowboys (9% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.8
- Ceiling
- 17.5
- Big game (15+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 16.3
- Big game (15+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dallas GoedertTE, PHI, Mon, Oct 26, 8:15 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.3 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 11.3 | 10.7 |
| Standard projection | 7.3 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | TE7 | TE8 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.6 | 10.4 |
| Last season per game | 10.3 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 81% | 66% |
| Trade value | 11 | 10 |