T.J. HockensonorTravis Kelce?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores T.J. Hockenson in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: T.J. Hockenson comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Travis Kelce, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Travis Kelce projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. T.J. Hockenson has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (53% more than average to TEs); Travis Kelce faces the Denver Broncos (7% more than average to TEs). Travis Kelce still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.0
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (15+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 5):
- 25%
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 17.3
- Big game (15+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 5):
- 24%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | T.J. HockensonTE, MIN, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.2 | 9.4 |
| PPR projection | 11.8 | 11.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.6 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | TE8 | TE7 |
| Matchup | at DET | at DEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.2 | 9.7 |
| Last season per game | 5.8 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 76% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | 6 |