Kyle PittsorTravis Kelce?
Week 7 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores Kyle Pitts in 56% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Travis Kelce is the better bet, not a sure thing. Travis Kelce projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 7. The matchups don't separate them: Travis Kelce faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to TEs), Kyle Pitts faces the San Francisco 49ers (12% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 6.5
- Ceiling
- 18.9
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.6
- Ceiling
- 16.3
- Big game (15+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Oct 25, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Oct 25, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.7 | 8.8 |
| PPR projection | 10.5 | 10.7 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 6.8 |
| Rank this week | TE9 | TE8 |
| Matchup | vs SF | at SEA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.1 | 10.4 |
| Last season per game | 9.8 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 78% | 66% |
| Trade value | 8 | 10 |