Dalton SchultzorGeorge Kittle?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start George Kittle

George Kittle outscores Dalton Schultz in 80% of simulations.

Dalton Schultz comes out ahead in the other 20%. George Kittle projects 6.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. George Kittle has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (3% more than average to TEs); Dalton Schultz faces the Los Angeles Chargers (25% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dalton Schultz
Floor
1.8
Median
5.1
Ceiling
11.1
Big game (15+):
3%
Dud (under 5):
49%
George Kittle
Floor
4.4
Median
11.2
Ceiling
23.0
Big game (15+):
32%
Dud (under 5):
14%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatDalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ETGeorge KittleTE, SF, Sun, Nov 8, 4:05 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection6.012.6
PPR projection8.015.3
Standard projection4.19.9
Rank this weekTE24TE4
Matchupat LACvs LV
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.012.5
Last season per game8.012.1
Snap share, last game57%91%
Trade value—27