Dallas GoedertorJuwan Johnson?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Juwan Johnson
Juwan Johnson outscores Dallas Goedert in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Dallas Goedert comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Juwan Johnson, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Juwan Johnson projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Juwan Johnson faces the Atlanta Falcons (10% fewer than average to TEs), Dallas Goedert faces the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.9
- Ceiling
- 18.0
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
- Floor
- 3.8
- Median
- 8.7
- Ceiling
- 16.8
- Big game (15+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 5):
- 19%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dallas GoedertTE, PHI, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Juwan JohnsonTE, NO, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 9.7 |
| PPR projection | 11.2 | 12.0 |
| Standard projection | 7.9 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | TE12 | TE11 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | vs ATL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 11.3 | 13.6 |
| Last season per game | 10.3 | 8.3 |
| Snap share, last game | 25% | 62% |
| Trade value | 10 | 10 |