Juwan JohnsonorTyler Warren?

Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Start Tyler Warren

Tyler Warren outscores Juwan Johnson in 62% of simulations.

Juwan Johnson still comes out ahead in the other 38%, so Tyler Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Warren projects 2.0 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. The matchups don't separate them: Tyler Warren faces the Dallas Cowboys (6% fewer than average to TEs), Juwan Johnson faces the Cleveland Browns (average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Juwan Johnson
Floor
2.3
Median
6.2
Ceiling
13.2
Big game (15+):
6%
Dud (under 5):
38%
Tyler Warren
Floor
3.7
Median
8.2
Ceiling
15.4
Big game (15+):
11%
Dud (under 5):
20%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

Share this

StatJuwan JohnsonTE, NO, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ETTyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.09.0
PPR projection8.911.5
Standard projection5.16.5
Rank this weekTE17TE10
Matchupvs CLEvs DAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.89.8
Last season per game8.38.9
Snap share, last game56%72%
Trade value—3