Harold Fannin Jr.orTyler Warren?

Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Tyler Warren

Tyler Warren outscores Harold Fannin Jr. in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Harold Fannin Jr. comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tyler Warren, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Harold Fannin Jr. projects 0.1 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Tyler Warren has the better matchup against the Washington Commanders (38% more than average to TEs); Harold Fannin Jr. faces the Pittsburgh Steelers (11% more than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Harold Fannin Jr.
Floor
3.6
Median
9.7
Ceiling
19.8
Big game (15+):
22%
Dud (under 5):
18%
Tyler Warren
Floor
4.5
Median
10.0
Ceiling
18.5
Big game (15+):
21%
Dud (under 5):
13%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatHarold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ETTyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Oct 4, 9:30 a.m. ET
Half-PPR projection11.010.9
PPR projection13.614.0
Standard projection8.57.8
Rank this weekTE5TE6
Matchupvs PITat WAS
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game10.510.1
Last season per game9.48.9
Snap share, last game86%94%
Trade value93