Isaiah LikelyorTyler Warren?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Tyler Warren
Tyler Warren outscores Isaiah Likely in 56% of simulations.
Isaiah Likely still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Tyler Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Warren projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Isaiah Likely has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (3% more than average to TEs); Tyler Warren faces the Tennessee Titans (7% fewer than average to TEs). Tyler Warren still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (15+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
- Floor
- 4.1
- Median
- 9.0
- Ceiling
- 16.6
- Big game (15+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 5):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 9.8 |
| PPR projection | 11.8 | 12.4 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 7.2 |
| Rank this week | TE9 | TE7 |
| Matchup | vs NO | vs TEN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 11.0 |
| Last season per game | 4.0 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 80% | 94% |
| Trade value | 4 | 10 |