Juwan JohnsonorTucker Kraft?

Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Tucker Kraft

Tucker Kraft outscores Juwan Johnson in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Juwan Johnson comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Tucker Kraft, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tucker Kraft projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Juwan Johnson has the better matchup against the Carolina Panthers (2% more than average to TEs); Tucker Kraft faces the Minnesota Vikings (34% fewer than average to TEs). Tucker Kraft still wins more often despite that.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Juwan Johnson
Floor
2.5
Median
6.7
Ceiling
14.0
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
34%
Tucker Kraft
Floor
2.4
Median
7.2
Ceiling
15.6
Big game (15+):
12%
Dud (under 5):
32%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

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StatJuwan JohnsonTE, NO, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ETTucker KraftTE, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.68.4
PPR projection9.410.1
Standard projection5.86.7
Rank this weekTE15TE12
Matchupvs CARvs MIN
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.18.0
Last season per game8.312.6
Snap share, last game53%82%
Trade value—10