Travis KelceorTucker Kraft?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores Tucker Kraft in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Tucker Kraft comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Travis Kelce, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Travis Kelce projects 0.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Travis Kelce has the better matchup against the Atlanta Falcons (17% fewer than average to TEs); Tucker Kraft faces the Minnesota Vikings (27% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.1
- Median
- 7.8
- Ceiling
- 16.0
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 25%
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 32%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tucker KraftTE, GB, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.8 | 8.4 |
| PPR projection | 10.8 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.9 | 6.7 |
| Rank this week | TE7 | TE10 |
| Matchup | at ATL | vs MIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.3 | 8.0 |
| Last season per game | 9.1 | 12.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 70% | 82% |
| Trade value | 13 | 13 |