Harold Fannin Jr.orPat Freiermuth?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Harold Fannin Jr.
Harold Fannin Jr. outscores Pat Freiermuth in 53% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Pat Freiermuth comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Harold Fannin Jr., and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Harold Fannin Jr. projects 0.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Pat Freiermuth has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (39% more than average to TEs); Harold Fannin Jr. faces the Houston Texans (19% fewer than average to TEs). Harold Fannin Jr. still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 15.6
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 28%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 17.6
- Big game (15+):
- 15%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Harold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Pat FreiermuthTE, PIT, Sun, Nov 15, 8:20 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.6 | 8.5 |
| PPR projection | 10.6 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.7 | 6.9 |
| Rank this week | TE9 | TE10 |
| Matchup | vs HOU | at CIN |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 9.3 | 8.3 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 6.2 |
| Snap share, last game | 84% | 53% |
| Trade value | 9 | — |