Harold Fannin Jr.orTravis Kelce?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores Harold Fannin Jr. in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Harold Fannin Jr. comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Travis Kelce, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Travis Kelce projects 0.3 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Harold Fannin Jr. has the better matchup against the Pittsburgh Steelers (11% more than average to TEs); Travis Kelce faces the Las Vegas Raiders (2% fewer than average to TEs). Travis Kelce still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 3.6
- Median
- 9.7
- Ceiling
- 19.8
- Big game (15+):
- 22%
- Dud (under 5):
- 18%
- Floor
- 4.0
- Median
- 10.0
- Ceiling
- 20.5
- Big game (15+):
- 25%
- Dud (under 5):
- 16%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Harold Fannin Jr.TE, CLE, Thu, Oct 1, 8:15 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 11.0 | 11.3 |
| PPR projection | 13.6 | 13.6 |
| Standard projection | 8.5 | 9.1 |
| Rank this week | TE5 | TE4 |
| Matchup | vs PIT | at LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.5 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 9.4 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 86% | 79% |
| Trade value | 9 | 16 |