Hunter HenryorTravis Kelce?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Travis Kelce
Travis Kelce outscores Hunter Henry in 56% of simulations.
Hunter Henry still comes out ahead in the other 44%, so Travis Kelce is the better bet, not a sure thing. Travis Kelce projects 0.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Hunter Henry has the better matchup against the New York Jets (7% fewer than average to TEs); Travis Kelce faces the Los Angeles Chargers (25% fewer than average to TEs). Travis Kelce still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 15.2
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Hunter HenryTE, NE, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.9 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE13 | TE11 |
| Matchup | vs NYJ | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.2 | 11.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.8 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 64% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |