Hunter HenryorIsaiah Likely?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Isaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely outscores Hunter Henry in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Hunter Henry comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Isaiah Likely, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Isaiah Likely projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Hunter Henry has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (47% more than average to TEs); Isaiah Likely faces the Washington Commanders (35% more than average to TEs). Isaiah Likely still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (15+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
- Floor
- 2.2
- Median
- 8.8
- Ceiling
- 22.8
- Big game (15+):
- 25%
- Dud (under 5):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Hunter HenryTE, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Thu, Nov 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 13.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 8.6 |
| Rank this week | TE6 | TE4 |
| Matchup | at DET | vs WAS |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.1 | 13.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.8 | 4.0 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 75% |
| Trade value | — | 8 |