Hunter HenryorTrey McBride?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Hunter Henry in 66% of simulations.
Hunter Henry still comes out ahead in the other 34%, so Trey McBride is the better bet, not a sure thing. Trey McBride projects 3.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Hunter Henry has the better matchup against the Detroit Lions (47% more than average to TEs); Trey McBride faces the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (15+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 7%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Hunter HenryTE, NE, Sun, Nov 15, 9:30 a.m. ET | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.6 | 13.0 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 16.5 |
| Standard projection | 7.4 | 9.4 |
| Rank this week | TE6 | TE2 |
| Matchup | at DET | vs LAR |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.1 | 14.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.8 | 14.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 49% | 83% |
| Trade value | — | 42 |