Trey McBrideorTyler Warren?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Trey McBride
Trey McBride outscores Tyler Warren in 63% of simulations.
Tyler Warren still comes out ahead in the other 37%, so Trey McBride is the better bet, not a sure thing. Trey McBride projects 2.8 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Tyler Warren has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (26% more than average to TEs); Trey McBride faces the Los Angeles Rams (14% fewer than average to TEs). Trey McBride still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.7
- Median
- 11.9
- Ceiling
- 21.6
- Big game (15+):
- 32%
- Dud (under 5):
- 7%
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 15%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Trey McBrideTE, ARI, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Tyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 13.0 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 16.5 | 13.1 |
| Standard projection | 9.4 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | TE2 | TE5 |
| Matchup | vs LAR | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 14.0 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 14.9 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 83% | 83% |
| Trade value | 44 | 4 |