Brock BowersorDarren Waller?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers outscores Darren Waller in 72% of simulations.
Darren Waller still comes out ahead in the other 28%, so Brock Bowers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brock Bowers projects 5.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Darren Waller has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (7% more than average to TEs); Brock Bowers faces the Seattle Seahawks (10% fewer than average to TEs). Brock Bowers still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.4
- Big game (15+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 5):
- 10%
- Floor
- 1.8
- Median
- 6.9
- Ceiling
- 18.4
- Big game (15+):
- 16%
- Dud (under 5):
- 36%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 10.5 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 7.5 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | TE7 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.4 | 8.2 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 8.5 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 53% |
| Trade value | 53 | 2 |