Darren WallerorTyler Warren?
Week 9 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Tyler Warren
Tyler Warren outscores Darren Waller in 64% of simulations.
Darren Waller still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Tyler Warren is the better bet, not a sure thing. Tyler Warren projects 1.5 half-PPR points ahead in Week 9. Darren Waller has the better matchup against the Denver Broncos (11% more than average to TEs); Tyler Warren faces the Dallas Cowboys (6% fewer than average to TEs). Tyler Warren still wins more often despite that. Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Tyler Warren wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.4
- Median
- 5.8
- Ceiling
- 15.3
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 44%
- Floor
- 3.7
- Median
- 8.2
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 20%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Darren WallerTE, CAR, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Nov 8, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.5 | 9.0 |
| PPR projection | 8.7 | 11.5 |
| Standard projection | 6.3 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE15 | TE10 |
| Matchup | vs DEN | vs DAL |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 6.6 | 9.8 |
| Last season per game | 8.5 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 62% | 72% |
| Trade value | — | 3 |