Brock BowersorTyler Warren?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Brock Bowers
Brock Bowers outscores Tyler Warren in 64% of simulations.
Tyler Warren still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Brock Bowers is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brock Bowers projects 4.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 10. Tyler Warren has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (26% more than average to TEs); Brock Bowers faces the Seattle Seahawks (10% fewer than average to TEs). Brock Bowers still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 5.0
- Median
- 12.6
- Ceiling
- 25.4
- Big game (15+):
- 38%
- Dud (under 5):
- 10%
- Floor
- 4.2
- Median
- 9.3
- Ceiling
- 17.4
- Big game (15+):
- 17%
- Dud (under 5):
- 15%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brock BowersTE, LV, Sun, Nov 15, 4:05 p.m. ET | Tyler WarrenTE, IND, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 14.4 | 10.2 |
| PPR projection | 17.3 | 13.1 |
| Standard projection | 11.5 | 7.4 |
| Rank this week | TE1 | TE5 |
| Matchup | vs SEA | vs MIA |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 17.4 | 9.3 |
| Last season per game | 12.0 | 8.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 100% | 83% |
| Trade value | 53 | 4 |