Isaiah LikelyorTravis Kelce?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Isaiah Likely
Isaiah Likely outscores Travis Kelce in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Travis Kelce comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Isaiah Likely, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Isaiah Likely projects 1.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Isaiah Likely has the better matchup against the New Orleans Saints (3% more than average to TEs); Travis Kelce faces the Los Angeles Chargers (25% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.6
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 20.4
- Big game (15+):
- 20%
- Dud (under 5):
- 35%
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.2
- Ceiling
- 15.4
- Big game (15+):
- 11%
- Dud (under 5):
- 30%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Isaiah LikelyTE, NYG, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET | Travis KelceTE, KC, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.5 | 8.3 |
| PPR projection | 11.8 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 7.1 | 6.5 |
| Rank this week | TE9 | TE11 |
| Matchup | vs NO | vs LAC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 13.8 | 11.2 |
| Last season per game | 4.0 | 9.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 80% | 83% |
| Trade value | 4 | 8 |