Dalton KincaidorKyle Pitts?
Week 6 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid outscores Kyle Pitts in 60% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Dalton Kincaid is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dalton Kincaid projects 1.4 half-PPR points ahead in Week 6. Dalton Kincaid has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (1% more than average to TEs); Kyle Pitts faces the Chicago Bears (20% fewer than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.0
- Median
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 16.0
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 36%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 4.9
- Ceiling
- 14.2
- Big game (15+):
- 9%
- Dud (under 5):
- 51%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton KincaidTE, BUF, Sun, Oct 18, 4:25 p.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Oct 18, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 6.6 |
| PPR projection | 9.5 | 8.3 |
| Standard projection | 6.5 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | TE13 | TE17 |
| Matchup | at LV | vs CHI |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.3 | 4.4 |
| Last season per game | 8.9 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 70% | 67% |
| Trade value | — | — |