Colston LovelandorDalton Kincaid?

Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Colston Loveland

Colston Loveland outscores Dalton Kincaid in 52% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Dalton Kincaid comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Colston Loveland, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Colston Loveland projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. The matchups don't separate them: Colston Loveland faces the Seattle Seahawks (11% fewer than average to TEs), Dalton Kincaid faces the Baltimore Ravens (15% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Colston Loveland
Floor
1.5
Median
6.4
Ceiling
17.7
Big game (15+):
15%
Dud (under 5):
40%
Dalton Kincaid
Floor
1.9
Median
6.1
Ceiling
14.1
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
39%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatColston LovelandTE, CHI, Mon, Nov 2, 8:15 p.m. ETDalton KincaidTE, BUF, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection8.27.1
PPR projection10.18.8
Standard projection6.35.5
Rank this weekTE12TE16
Matchupat SEAvs BAL
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game7.18.2
Last season per game8.58.9
Snap share, last game84%72%
Trade value3—