Dalton KincaidorEli Raridon?

Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Eli Raridon

Eli Raridon outscores Dalton Kincaid in 53% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Dalton Kincaid comes out ahead in the other 47%. Lean Eli Raridon, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Eli Raridon projects 0.6 half-PPR points ahead in Week 8. Eli Raridon has the better matchup against the Miami Dolphins (36% more than average to TEs); Dalton Kincaid faces the Baltimore Ravens (15% fewer than average to TEs).

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dalton Kincaid
Floor
1.9
Median
6.1
Ceiling
14.1
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
39%
Eli Raridon
Floor
2.0
Median
6.5
Ceiling
15.2
Big game (15+):
10%
Dud (under 5):
37%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDalton KincaidTE, BUF, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ETEli RaridonTE, NE, Sun, Nov 1, 4:25 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.17.7
PPR projection8.89.1
Standard projection5.56.4
Rank this weekTE16TE13
Matchupvs BALat MIA
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.25.8
Last season per game8.9—
Snap share, last game72%54%
Trade value——