Dalton KincaidorMason Taylor?
Week 8 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Dalton Kincaid
Dalton Kincaid outscores Mason Taylor in 54% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Mason Taylor comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Dalton Kincaid, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Mason Taylor projects 0.3 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. Mason Taylor has the better matchup against the Las Vegas Raiders (6% more than average to TEs); Dalton Kincaid faces the Baltimore Ravens (15% fewer than average to TEs). Dalton Kincaid still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 1.9
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 14.1
- Big game (15+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 5):
- 39%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 15.9
- Big game (15+):
- 12%
- Dud (under 5):
- 46%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton KincaidTE, BUF, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET | Mason TaylorTE, NYJ, Sun, Nov 1, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.1 | 7.4 |
| PPR projection | 8.8 | 9.2 |
| Standard projection | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| Rank this week | TE16 | TE14 |
| Matchup | vs BAL | vs LV |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 8.2 | 8.2 |
| Last season per game | 8.9 | 5.1 |
| Snap share, last game | 72% | 63% |
| Trade value | — | — |