Brenton StrangeorTyler Higbee?
Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Brenton Strange
Brenton Strange outscores Tyler Higbee in 55% of simulations.
Tyler Higbee still comes out ahead in the other 45%, so Brenton Strange is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brenton Strange projects 0.2 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. Tyler Higbee has the better matchup against the Buffalo Bills (32% fewer than average to TEs); Brenton Strange faces the Philadelphia Eagles (42% fewer than average to TEs). Brenton Strange still wins more often despite that.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.4
- Median
- 5.9
- Ceiling
- 12.0
- Big game (15+):
- 4%
- Dud (under 5):
- 40%
- Floor
- 1.7
- Median
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 12.8
- Big game (15+):
- 6%
- Dud (under 5):
- 45%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brenton StrangeTE, JAX, Sun, Oct 11, 9:30 a.m. ET | Tyler HigbeeTE, LAR, Mon, Oct 12, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 6.7 | 6.5 |
| PPR projection | 8.3 | 8.0 |
| Standard projection | 5.0 | 5.0 |
| Rank this week | TE17 | TE18 |
| Matchup | vs PHI | vs BUF |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.4 | 8.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.9 | 5.9 |
| Snap share, last game | 87% | 65% |
| Trade value | — | — |