Dalton SchultzorHunter Henry?

Week 5 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.

Our call

Lean Dalton Schultz

Dalton Schultz outscores Hunter Henry in 54% of simulations.

That's close to a coin flip: Hunter Henry comes out ahead in the other 46%. Lean Dalton Schultz, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Dalton Schultz projects 0.7 half-PPR points ahead in Week 5. The matchups don't separate them: Dalton Schultz faces the Tennessee Titans (4% fewer than average to TEs), Hunter Henry faces the Las Vegas Raiders (6% fewer than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Hunter Henry is the pick at 51%.

Range of outcomes, half-PPR

Dalton Schultz
Floor
2.2
Median
6.4
Ceiling
14.2
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
37%
Hunter Henry
Floor
1.8
Median
5.8
Ceiling
14.1
Big game (15+):
8%
Dud (under 5):
43%

Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.

StatDalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ETHunter HenryTE, NE, Sun, Oct 11, 1:00 p.m. ET
Half-PPR projection7.66.9
PPR projection10.08.5
Standard projection5.25.3
Rank this weekTE13TE16
Matchupat TENvs LV
InjuryNoneNone
2026 points per game8.04.8
Last season per game8.08.8
Snap share, last game64%64%
Trade value——