Dalton SchultzorKyle Pitts?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Dalton Schultz
Dalton Schultz outscores Kyle Pitts in 64% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 36%, so Dalton Schultz is the better bet, not a sure thing. Dalton Schultz projects 1.9 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. The matchups don't separate them: Dalton Schultz faces the Dallas Cowboys (2% more than average to TEs), Kyle Pitts faces the New Orleans Saints (8% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.7
- Median
- 7.5
- Ceiling
- 16.3
- Big game (15+):
- 13%
- Dud (under 5):
- 28%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.8 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 11.5 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | TE13 | TE17 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.0 | 1.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 59% |
| Trade value | — | — |