Brenton StrangeorKyle Pitts?
Week 10 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Brenton Strange
Brenton Strange outscores Kyle Pitts in 51% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Kyle Pitts comes out ahead in the other 49%. Lean Brenton Strange, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Kyle Pitts projects 0.9 half-PPR points more, but more of that rests on the occasional big game. The matchups don't separate them: Brenton Strange faces the Tennessee Titans (1% fewer than average to TEs), Kyle Pitts faces the Kansas City Chiefs (1% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 6.4
- Ceiling
- 12.7
- Big game (15+):
- 5%
- Dud (under 5):
- 34%
- Floor
- 1.3
- Median
- 6.1
- Ceiling
- 17.5
- Big game (15+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 5):
- 42%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Brenton StrangeTE, JAX, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Sun, Nov 15, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 7.2 | 8.1 |
| PPR projection | 9.1 | 10.1 |
| Standard projection | 5.3 | 6.1 |
| Rank this week | TE15 | TE11 |
| Matchup | at TEN | vs KC |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 7.1 | 6.5 |
| Last season per game | 7.9 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 79% | 68% |
| Trade value | — | — |