Brenton StrangeorKyle Pitts?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Start Brenton Strange
Brenton Strange outscores Kyle Pitts in 60% of simulations.
Kyle Pitts still comes out ahead in the other 40%, so Brenton Strange is the better bet, not a sure thing. Brenton Strange projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Brenton Strange has the better matchup against the Cincinnati Bengals (53% more than average to TEs); Kyle Pitts faces the New Orleans Saints (8% more than average to TEs).
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.9
- Median
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 14.4
- Big game (15+):
- 8%
- Dud (under 5):
- 30%
- Floor
- 1.1
- Median
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 14.9
- Big game (15+):
- 10%
- Dud (under 5):
- 49%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
Share this
| Stat | Brenton StrangeTE, JAX, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Kyle PittsTE, ATL, Mon, Oct 5, 8:15 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 8.0 | 6.9 |
| PPR projection | 9.9 | 8.8 |
| Standard projection | 6.1 | 5.1 |
| Rank this week | TE15 | TE17 |
| Matchup | at CIN | at NO |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 5.6 | 1.0 |
| Last season per game | 7.9 | 9.8 |
| Snap share, last game | 77% | 59% |
| Trade value | — | — |