Dalton SchultzorTucker Kraft?
Week 4 start/sit decision, tight end versus tight end.
Our call
Lean Tucker Kraft
Tucker Kraft outscores Dalton Schultz in 52% of simulations.
That's close to a coin flip: Dalton Schultz comes out ahead in the other 48%. Lean Tucker Kraft, and let news and your league's scoring break the tie. Tucker Kraft projects 1.1 half-PPR points ahead in Week 4. Tucker Kraft has the better matchup against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (19% more than average to TEs); Dalton Schultz faces the Dallas Cowboys (1% more than average to TEs). Scoring matters here: in Standard leagues, Tucker Kraft wins 59%.
Range of outcomes, half-PPR
- Floor
- 2.8
- Median
- 7.7
- Ceiling
- 16.6
- Big game (15+):
- 14%
- Dud (under 5):
- 27%
- Floor
- 2.6
- Median
- 8.4
- Ceiling
- 19.1
- Big game (15+):
- 19%
- Dud (under 5):
- 28%
Each week is simulated thousands of times from the projection and the player’s usual week-to-week swing. Floor and ceiling are the 10th and 90th percentile: 8 weeks in 10 land between them.
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| Stat | Dalton SchultzTE, HOU, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET | Tucker KraftTE, GB, Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 p.m. ET |
|---|---|---|
| Half-PPR projection | 9.0 | 10.1 |
| PPR projection | 11.7 | 12.1 |
| Standard projection | 6.2 | 8.1 |
| Rank this week | TE13 | TE10 |
| Matchup | vs DAL | at TB |
| Injury | None | None |
| 2026 points per game | 10.0 | 5.0 |
| Last season per game | 8.0 | 12.6 |
| Snap share, last game | 54% | 76% |
| Trade value | — | — |